Sports wagering is often very profitable if a person know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. My partner and i analyzed this Western side Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also recognized that there was a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This activity has all the indicators of being one regarding the greatest games regarding the year, together with the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using West Virginia coming back again from getting down major in the final quarter to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the game search like this year?

If this match were being played at a new fairly neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, this added in reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up such as this, that more point will certainly make the variation between the push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her final 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home game titles.

Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your house since 12 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game at home, while averaging only quitting 15. 8 points every game with home. In case you don’t do the math, that means since their particular last home loss they have already averaged beating their own opposing team by way of about 34 points per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by 13 things per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already got recent games in which they are yet to only scored 35, 23, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. These people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still a new close game to call up. Although what I look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and definitely not guess at all. There are better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. บาคาร่า won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return the punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big they can still win soon after making so many mistakes. By way of not betting on that sport, people severe about wagering saved money they will can offer better apply on coming games.