Sports playing can be quite profitable if an individual know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. I actually analyzed often the West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had the particular edge in the game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also understood that there are a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guess on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This sport possesses all the indications of being one connected with the most effective games involving the year, along with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming back again from being down massive in the independence day 1 fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

If this video game were getting played from the basic field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, typically the added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that spare point can make the big difference between a push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since December 18, the year 2003! During สมัครเว็บบอล is averaging 49. 4 points for every game at home, while averaging only stopping 15. 7 points every game with home. In case you decided not to do the mathmatical, that means considering his or her last home decline they’ve averaged beating their opponents by means of about thirty four details per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by way of 13 points per game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats had been piled up during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They’ve had recent games that has they have already only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a close activity to call up. Nevertheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off this specific game and certainly not guess at all. There usually are better activities this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big which they may still win right after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this video game, people serious regarding sports betting saved money these people can put to better apply on coming games.