Sports betting can be quite profitable if you know the strategies this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make income. Most significant secrets that sensible money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. I analyzed often the West Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West California had the particular edge in the game. However , My partner and i also recognized that there have been a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on this game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This online game provides all the symptoms of being one associated with the very best games connected with the year, together with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming rear from getting down large in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure appear like this year?

In case this video game were getting played at a new natural field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

These are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, this extra reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like significantly, but in a close up match-up this way, that extra point might make the change between a push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since December 16, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. four points every game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 6 points each game on home. In case you decided not to do the mathematics, that means considering that their particular last home reduction they already have averaged beating their particular competitors by means of about 34 details per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, simply by 13 items per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats ended up established during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They’ve got recent games where they have already only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still a close sport to call up. But what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this specific game and not guess at all. There are usually better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. UFABET was that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they may still win following generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that video game, people severe about gambling saved money that they can put to better apply on forthcoming games.