Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if anyone know the secrets this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great case in point. I analyzed the West Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Florida had the particular edge in the match. However , My partner and i also recognized that there were a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This activity features all the signals of being one of the greatest games of the year, together with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. พนันบอลออนไลน์ เว็บไหนดี ‘s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming rear from staying down large in the next quarter to winning around overtime.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

In the event this video game were getting played at a new neutral field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, often the extra benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like significantly, but in a near match-up similar to this, that special point could make the big difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since December 18, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game at your home, while averaging only giving up 15. seven points for each game at home. In case anyone did not do the figures, that means considering that their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their opponents simply by about 34 items per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, simply by 13 things per online game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats ended up established during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They’ve possessed recent games in which they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still some sort of close activity to phone. Nonetheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this particular game and certainly not gamble at all. There are better activities this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big which they may possibly still win right after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on that game, people critical concerning gambling saved money they will can put to better work with on approaching games.